Gold, Silver, PM's and Markets

get TONS of Sun without wearing sunglasses...

No sunscreen, No sunglasses.  Ever.  Period.  TONS of sun.

I believe this is the key to a good, healthy life.
At least it's why I can run circles around my  peers in the over 55 community. 
And also why most here are shocked to find out I'm 10 years older than they are while looking 10 years younger.
 
Sadly, when I tell them this "secret" they act like I just tried to send them straight to their grave.

Are PMs the new AI?

Almost starting to look like it.  If so, throw out your charts, your seasonals and fundamentals.
All that matters is the "Madness of Crowds."

Roan:  those are nice whiskeys in the JW Black!  What in the world is in the green?  Or the Blue?  I've always enjoyed the taste of Black. Thanks!

Dan 2 FBI warnings...............your android frig can get hacked
=======================================

I think this happened to me.  Leftover pizza GONE!

PB1:  good song, bad version.  Here is Dylan with The Band.  From the basement tapes.  I had bootleg vinyls of these.  Copied to reel to reel and listened over and over.  Great stuff.  Brings back memories of long ago.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WWn0G9JdI44

2nd NW.  Corona bad.  Modelo Especial pretty good.  Bohemia great.
All readily available in SoCal.  I'll even drink Tecate -- very cheap in the 30-can pack. 
Other good pales (lagers, pilsners) are Victoia, Pacifico, Estrella.  Most brands come from 1 or 2 parent companies.

The Mexican brewing industry was started by the Germans a century ago.  Even today, modern big breweries are German-built.  I think the Corona plant is the biggest in the world. Mexican beer is unique in that it must be made in Mexico, unlike some other countries.  For example, we get Irish product that's made in Canada.

There is a burgeoning craft brew movement, even for west coast IPAs.  But hard to find outside of the high-class Mexican Restaurants.

If you're splurging for the holiday, go for Bohemia.

per AF's 36544

on China.  I've been to Chinese factories -- subs of major US manufacturing companies.  Most people I talk to have no idea what Chinese manufacturing is like.  They think all they make is Walmart junk.  While China still has the ability to make junk they also have the ability to produce high tech, high quality, tight QC product.  Their top factories are better than ours (USA).  I've worked with their people. Their young people especially are more motivated, brighter and harder-working than ours.  My experience is that anything we can do, they can do better. 

If we don't deal with them as equals we are vastly underestimating their strengths.  That guy, Bessent, sounds like a perfect moron.

Hey NW, you know the area.  Pacific Palisades is west of L.A. and I'm now south OC some 75 miles away.  I did live in BH, but years ago.  I have friends and acquaintances who were surely affected but have not been in touch.  I NEVER tune in to the local news which is the worst crap ever produced.  There was some rain with the inevitable mud slides.  The BL Mayor (black, lezzy) did fire the BL fire chief.  There are recall efforts in progress against the Mayor and the Governor.  I'm sure they'll survive when the fix gets in.  A document created a few years ago was uncovered outlining the desire and long-term plan to convert suburban L.A. to 15-min cities.  Political leaders seem to be quite happy about the destruction.  However, many Hollywood types are beginning to see that something is going wrong in their utopian paradise.

Did Ukrainian officials and generals pocket their share?

I saw that 8 Ukrainian generals lost their mansions in the L. A. fires.  They must have gotten their "share."

Large parts of SoCal look like Dresden, 1945.  It's devastation.  Lots of people cite incompetence, of which the amounts are legion, no doubt.  I think it's all part of the plan, a desired outcome.  The Palisades, a very large, extremely affluent area (mostly $5+ million houses), must have been targeted for destruction.  I've seen conditions here be much worse for fire risk, much, much worse.  This just seems like windy but otherwise pleasant weather.  This does not feel right. Not at all.  Not natural. 

I caught the c plague way back.  Wife too.  I was pretty bad off, even passed out.  But, I had the life-saving horse paste--the good stuff, apple flavored.  Treated myself as a 200-lb horse.  Two doses a day.  Never got to day two because after day 1, all symptoms gone.  Same for my wife.

Most vet meds are made on the same manufacturing line as the human stuff.  Just goes into different bottles.  At least the AI (active ingredient) is. Sometimes the excipients are slightly different, or the delivery method, but if they don't harm horses or dogs or cats they won't harm you either.  There is nothing special about being human -- we're just another animal.  As my cat tells me a big, dumb, clumsy animal.

If anyone wonders why Trump won, it's as simple as this (Courtesy of Gen Michael Flynn):

"Democrats, if you’re wondering why America voted for Trump, allow me to explain: The truth is, the American People are sick of your sh!t."

There's more, but that succinct summary is sufficient.  Here:
https://www.yourdestinationnow.com/2024/11/gen-michael-flynn-pens-letter-to.html

Yandex Only!

I too have posted many rants about this.  Google is not properly a "search engine."  It is a search filter.  You only get what "they" permit you to see.  The Duck uses Google as it it's engine.

Please, people.  Wise up.  Listen to the 4thHorsewoman. 

I am worried that the lawn mower blade got him.  Hope to hear he's ok.

who in heck would vote for a total loser who can't even make a proper taco? 

Man, them must be some gooood gummies.  I'd rather have them two stoned off their ass and unable to do anything than have them actually try and do some of their screwed up crap.  Keep 'em incapacitated...

I really hope knapper didn't succumb to the j - a - b.  He was an enthusiastic early adopter. 

Google is NOT an internet search engine.
It is a censorship filter.  It only returns results Google wants you to see.
Duckduckgo uses the google censorship engine.

No critically-thinking person should ever use either one. 

2350 futures was and is the support. all under it a gift.

It's like the $350 centroid has moved up by two thousand dollars. 

those who've had the shot get a double whammy.  ADE makes it easier to catch, and diminished immune system makes it harder to fight it off.  Easier to get, harder to get over.  This should be no secret by now.  Once you go past 2 shots, it's cumulative, just keeps getting worse and worse.

kapex, I think I mentioned it, mostly regards to skin cancers.  As I recall, all I said was it's reported to be a successful treatment and anyone in need should look into it.

I guess I shouldn't complain that I might have to wear long pants for golf today. 

pb1 - new bitcoin #17760:

Those two are welcome to help themselves...

oops.  Edited to fix links.

I see lots of talk recently about technicals in the gold market.  Here's my take on the stocks, vis-a-vis the xau index.  There's been nothing to see or say about this for a long time.  It's been about as exciting as staring at a red and white bobber attached to your fishing line, sitting on the surface of a calm lake.  With nothing doing.  For years.  Maybe now it's got a little wiggle going.  Maybe a big fish is interested.

On the short term, 3 mo. time period daily chart we see positive action:

https://schrts.co/jHTVqeju

Stochasitcs gave a double-hook buy signal with fast crossing up over slow on Nov 14.  Macd gave a buy signal for conformation on Nov 19.  A moving average buy signal occurred on Nov 21 and remains in positive mode with price above both averages with both averages moving up -- the 50 day ma just turning up this week.  The aroon14 switch to trend up with green crossing over red (final confirmation).

Yes, the stochastics are overbought but if this move amounts to much they should stay overbought for some time while the greatest gains are made.  Looks like a two-leg advance with the first gaining 17 points off the Oct bottom and second gaining 20 points off the Nov low so far.  A pessimistic view would see this area as a potential top.  A mildly bullish view would look for the second leg to be double the first, making a pullback due around the 140 level.

Moving on to the intermediate, 15 month weekly chart:

https://schrts.co/UUqBktfN

Also positive action with fresh buy signals.  The early signal was the stochastics, fast over slow first week of Oct with the bullish hammer candlestick bottom.  The macd confirms this week as does the aroon14 and the moving averages with price getting above both averages which have also turned up (50 day in blue, barely).  The three white soldier candles suggest more upside.  The first target is 140 area of the Jan and Apr-May highs.  A realistic target would be 60 points up, equal to the move from the bottom at 90 to the aforementioned tops.  That's around 162.  A bullish projection would be double that or 120 points up from 102 -- 222 (albeit with some minor pullbacks along the way).  Note that this is not yet overbought, basis the weekly, with the slow stochastic just crossing the 50 level

A longer chart (3 year period, same weekly view):
https://schrts.co/fxNzVtKm

Not much happening over 3 years with the long term moving average (blue line) almost flat sideways, slight downward bias over two years.  Almost no sustained uptrends, green line over red on the aroon chart. 

Like I say the bobber's been still on the water for a long time.  Now just getting the slightest twitch.  It looks like time to pay attention to this market.  If all the fundamental analysts making bullish predictions could be right -- the price action is suggesting this MAY be the start of a sustainable up move.  And the bottom is in at Sept '22 with a bottom above a bottom now in evidence over the long term.  Wild ass gamblers should be in already at the bump off the 102 bottom.  Trend following traders would say it's now safe to buy this market on dips.  Good luck to everyone.


 

Oh, the irony !!!

OMG.  Damndest thing I've ever seen.  Thanks!

I'm a peon.

Commanders Palace -- used to go for the 25 cent Martini lunch.  As good as it gets...

Bufford, maybe I can get over my two-beer-a-week limit by getting better Mexican beer from the cartels. All Mexican beer must be actually made in Mexico vs stuff like the Guinness brewed under license in Canada and sold in the USA.

off to listen to some music and exceed my weekly two beer limit by a respectable margin...

Pyrite, if would hope they consider 1 beer to be at least 16 oz, a pint. But then the 40 ouncer will be banned.  Worse yet, they may consider one beer to be the legal USA 12 oz can size, in which case the tall boy may be banned too. 

No forty you, bud.

Hillary.  For those who don't know me, I'm halfway between LA and SD on the coast.  As of 8:45 local time, nothing.  It looks like east of here, and especially in the Sanbardo mountains, big storm cells.  I'm guessing it won't amount to much as the cold SoCal ocean temps probably weakened it.  The windfarms are in Palm Springs area but probably a non-event so far.

Pyrite: the world would be a much a much nicer place with more naked girl dancers.

20 years ago.  Snowbird?

Ok, let's try and get this right.  It was recorded by Anne Murray in 1969 as an album cut.  That's what 53 maybe 54 years ago.  And the songwriter was not Murray but fellow Canadian Gene MacLellan.

forgot to mention this tidbit.  SF's answer to it's precipitous decline:  a $6M advert campaign.  Yeah sure, that will fix it.  LOL.

corn:  looks to me like there are serious issues on the demand side, especially exports.  Barring all out crop failure (always unlikely), I don't expect the usual weather scare to amount to much.  Corn could still end up being plentiful with prices declining.  I'm not looking at the long side at all.

Fine, we'll agree to disagree.  40 years ago while visiting a friend in Seattle his car was broken into and my bag stolen.  Police would do nothing except say it's probably the bums in the park up near the fwy.  My buddy I and went up there.  As sleazy a place as anything I'd seen in L.A. and I've seen it all.  Found my bag, rifled through, but mostly in tact, and repossessed it.  That was when Seattle was mostly exceptionally nice.  But so was L.A back then.  But both starting on their way to shithole status.  I admit we got there first but disagree that we caused yours.  There were plenty of homegrown lefties taking the northern cities in that direction without no help required by the southies.  You can blame us for your mess, but you are wrong.

Ben... Many many MANY Californians are heading to Idaho.

A great many already been there a while.  I wonder what percentage of ID residents are former Californians.  A big number, I'd wager.

Paul Craig Roberts --

... "Why does the effort continue to censor and suppress the truth and to discredit distinguished scientists who establish the actual facts?

Why did the entire medical systems of the Western World completely fail, and why do they continue to fail, providing no explanation for the rise in excess deaths following vaccination and no help for those injured by the vax?

Why have medical officials and the media lowered an iron curtain between the facts and the people?" ...

short read, well worth it:
https://www.paulcraigroberts.org/2023/05/31/the-vax-coverup-continues/

PB1.  second device was the contingency back-up plan.  It was mentioned in a walkie-talkie communication.

Very sad to hear of the loss of Erle. We'll all miss his pithy musings.  I'll miss his good taste in music.
RIP Brother Erle.

global warming 0, mini ice-age 1.
It's cold AF in socal with next days of forecast highs in the 50s.  Stupid groundhog was right.

We were kids at the right time.  Those good ole days are gone.  We traded baseball cards and marbles.  Today's kids are trading away their genitals. 

Southern California mountains get 100 inches of snow.  Global warming, yeah sure.

https://www.zerohedge.com/weather/big-bear-receives-more-snowfall-week-average-year

PB1.  Here is another one, relevant at this time although from the late 60s.  Being observant Englishmen, they saw where we were headed because they went through it first.  They knew.

Brainwashed, the Kinks
https://youtu.be/ZX0ZHIinRaE

God Save the Kinks!

Cherokeeee,  I would like to think I could applaud any woman with the guts to wear a thong bikini.  But, you've managed to find the exceptions.

Does AZAU still post the arctic ice charts?  I'd like to see one.  Based on the time passage, there should be no ice left by now.

https://youtu.be/Fpu5a0Bl8eY

with words, translated.

Do any of you feel guilty for not having warned others?

Which others?  The ones who wouldn't listen when you did try to warn them? 

Perhaps those who censored, ridiculed or otherwise silenced those who were trying to warn should shoulder some blame.  Ultimately, those wishing to be ignorant when instead all they had to do was use the internet a bit and use their brain some but took the easiest path: doing what everybody else does, going along to conform, and "do the right thing," have ONLY THEMSELVES to blame.  It's a good lesson in personal responsibility.

Nash's peak, of course, was with the Hollies.  Also straight downhill from there.

Apollo -- great place, love the restaurant, Splashes.  Nearby.